FNUS75 KGJT 130252
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR OHIO CITY   PITKIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
852 PM MDT TUE APR 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 MDT ON APRIL 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITH ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST LATE WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN
INCREASED INSTABILITY DURING THE AFTERNOON...FOR THE POSSIBILITY
OF A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE DAY. IN ADDITION SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WILL INCREASE IN THE EVENING WITH SNOW BECOMING LIKELY BY MIDNIGHT
AS THE FRONT AND UPPER DISTURBANCE PASS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A
STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW FOLLOWS ON THURSDAY WITH A CONTINUED CHANCE
OF SNOW.


.WEDNESDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY...INCREASING TO
                    8-12 MPH BY 1300. THEN AFTER 1600 BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE  NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN IMPROVING TO VERY GOOD BY
                    1400 AND TO EXCELLENT AFTER 1600.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO 8600 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GENERALLY POOR (25000 KNOT-FT) IN THE EVENING...
                    EXCEPT BETTER MIXING NEAR SHOWERS. THEN FAIR
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT AS PRECIPITATION INCREASES.

.THURSDAY...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MIFMU
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110413.OHIOC.01/GJT