FNUS75 KGJT 131404
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR CANYON...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
804 AM MDT WED APR 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0745 MDT ON APRIL 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE INCREASING AHEAD
THE NEXT DISTURBANCE MOVING TOWARD THE 4 CORNERS REGION. THIS WILL LEAD
TO ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO SNOW OVERNIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL ALSO BE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING
INTO EASTERN UTAH TODAY. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BY NOON
THURSDAY...SWITCHING WINDS OVER TO THE NORTHWEST AND KEEPING SNOW SHOWERS
IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 55 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWN SLOPE/DOWN VALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH
                    THE LATE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO
                    20 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (10600-57000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
                    TO VERY GOOD (104200 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (136200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (16800-18100 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 16 MPH IN THE MORNING TURNING NORTHWEST
                    AT 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (24000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (210000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...J  CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110413.TAYLO.02/GJT