FNUS75 KGJT 131454
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR THOMPSON PILES...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
854 AM MDT WED APR 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON APRIL 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE NEXT PACIFIC DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE 4 CORNERS REGION BY
LATE THIS EVENING...PUSHING A COLD FRONT INTO WESTERN UTAH AHEAD
OF IT. SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THIS
APPROACHING FRONT WITH SOME AFTERNOON GUSTS PUSHING 30 MPH. INSTABILITY
WILL HELP BRING THIS WINDS DOWN AND ALSO LEAD TO ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING AS SHOWERS INCREASE IN COVERAGE. THE FRONT WILL
PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY MORNING SWITCHING WINDS TO THE WEST...THEN
NORTHWEST THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS REMANING ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO
                    20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH A FEW GUSTS NEAR 30
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (7900-55000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    VERY GOOD (105600-148600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (159100-231100 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO
                    POOR (32400-38800 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1100 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 37 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (49200-72000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
                    TO EXCELLENT (207100-231300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200-9900 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 27 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN STEVENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110413.THOMP.01/GJT