FNUS73 KLSX 122249
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BATES HOLLOW...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
549 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT WILL GIVE WAY TO LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS ON
WEDNESDAY...WHICH WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI DURING THE DAY.  DRY WEATHER WILL HOLD
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY ARRIVING THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AND MORE
LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING...SOUTHEAST
                    1-2 MPH BY DAYBREAK (ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3)
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT WIND UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH 2 MPH (ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3)
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WIND 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...4600 FT AGL AT
                    MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (5813 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TRUETT
REQUESTED BY...TIM BRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110413.BATES.01/LSX