FNUS73 KLSX 131448
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BATES HOLLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
948 AM CDT WED APR 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY...BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY
AT AROUND 15 MPH ON THURSDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....APPROXIMATELY 2 MPH USING ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WIND 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AT IGNITION...6200 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....APPROXIMATELY 2 MPH USING ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTH
                    5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....APPROXIMATELY 4 MPH USING ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHEAST WIND 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (14548 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...KANOFSKY
REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE NAZARENKO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110413.BATES.02/LSX