FNUS74 KMAF 132204 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR CANNON GROUP FIRES...SOUTHERN AREA BLUE TEAM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 504 PM CDT WED APR 13 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1514 MDT ON APRIL 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ******PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THURSDAY**** ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THURSDAY... .DISCUSSION... SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WILL BECOME SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS FOR AWHILE THIS EVENING BEFORE TURNING TO THE SOUTHWEST GENERALLY UNDER 10 MPH LATE TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH WIND SPEEDS WILL NOT BE VERY STRONG...THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. SOME MOISTURE WILL RETURN WITH THE SOUTHERLY WINDS...WHICH COULD SPIKE RH'S UP TO 50 TO 60 PERCENT FOR A FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...WHEN THE WINDS TURN SOUTHWEST...RH'S WILL START TO DECREASE. DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AS WINDS TURN TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 MPH SUSTAINED BY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OVER 45 MPH POSSIBLE. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST WILL ALSO OCCUR. HOT TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 90S AND DRY AIR WILL RESULT IN MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH'S AROUND 4 PERCENT. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE THURSDAY EVENING AND TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH. RECOVERY WILL BE POOR AS DRY AIR REMAINS OVER THE REGION. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA...TURN WINDS TO THE NORTH AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH AND RESULT IN TEMPERATURES AT LEAST 15 DEGREES COOLER FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...RH'S WILL STILL DROP TO LESS THAN 10 PERCENT. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. BLOWING DUST IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........4 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST 22 TO 27 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH A FEW GUSTS OVER 45 MPH POSSIBLE. HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (341500 KNOT-FT). CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE BLDUST BLDUST BLDUST CHC PCPN (%)....0 0 0 0 0 0 TEMP............58 63 75 84 91 93 RH..............55 30 13 8 6 4 20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W WNW WNW W 20 FT WIND SPD..4 10 17 25 27 29 20 FT WIND GUST. 16 25 35 40 43 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 2500 5000 5000 10500 TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW NW W W W TRANS WIND SPD..6 6 29 26 26 33 VENT CAT........POOR POOR GOOD VYGOOD VYGOOD EXCLNT HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MAX HUMIDITY........16 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (238000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....0 0 0 0 0 0 TEMP............92 85 70 60 56 53 RH..............4 6 8 13 17 20 20 FT WIND DIR..WNW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..26 14 11 9 8 9 20 FT WIND GUST.37 20 10 MIX HGT (FT)....8500 8500 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 TRANS WIND DIR.... W W NW NW NW NW TRANS WIND SPD.....28 28 11 6 6 5 VENT CAT.......EXCLNT EXCLNT POOR POOR POOR POOR HAINES INDEX.......4 4 5 5 5 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........7 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (71500 KNOT-FT). CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....0 0 0 0 0 0 TEMP............50 52 63 73 79 81 RH..............25 22 15 8 7 7 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 12 14 15 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 16 19 21 10 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 3000 6500 6500 7500 TRANS WIND DIR..NW NW N NW NW NW TRANS WIND SPD..7 7 9 8 8 10 VENT CAT........POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR GOOD HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...LYSTER REQUESTED BY...WALLACE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110413.CANNO.01/MAF