FNUS72 KMHX 131248 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR 3 2 14 TWIFORD FARM FIELDS...ALLIGATOR RIVER NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 848 AM EDT WED APR 13 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE ACROSS VIRGINIA WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE AREA TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY THEN SLIDE OFFSHORE FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST SATURDAY AND CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST LATER SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THEN SLIDE OFFSHORE TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3300-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 2600 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............15 22 29 36 40 40 39 38 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................61 64 65 66 67 68 67 66 RH..................67 58 56 52 50 49 50 54 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW W W 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)8 8 9 9 8 8 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............37 35 34 32 30 27 24 22 19 17 14 11 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................65 63 59 59 57 55 55 54 53 53 52 51 RH..................56 62 72 72 77 83 83 83 86 86 86 89 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W NW NW NW N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2100-4000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............9 6 5 4 1 0 0 0 4 4 4 4 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................51 50 52 56 58 60 61 63 63 64 64 63 RH..................86 89 80 66 62 55 53 48 48 46 46 48 20 FT WIND DIR......N N N N N N N N N N NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)6 6 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...CULLEN REQUESTED BY...HELEN CZERNIK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110413.3214T.01/MHX