FNUS73 KOAX 130927 FWSOAX SPOT FORECAST FOR FARM CREEK...NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 427 AM CDT WED APR 13 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING SHOULD BE SOUTHEAST AT 7 TO 15 MPH BETWEEN 1030 AM AND 1 PM AND THEN BECOME MORE EASTERLY AT 10 TO 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-5400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6200-7700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........49 52 55 58 62 67 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............47 52 59 65 69 70 RH..............74 58 51 46 41 38 20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 E 8 E 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 6 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........71 78 88 96 97 99 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............68 61 56 53 50 48 RH..............41 54 64 75 84 94 20 FT WIND......E 9 E 10 NE 12 NE 13 NE 13 E 13 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1000-2500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 26 TO 35 MPH INCREASING TO 37 TO 45 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............46 50 56 61 64 65 RH..............100 92 77 69 63 58 20 FT WIND......E 14 E 15 E 17 E 20 E 22 E 23 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 3 3 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... COOLER...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH. .SATURDAY... CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...CHERMOK REQUESTED BY...CHAD GRAEVE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110413.FARMC.01/OAX