FNUS73 KPAH 131554 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR MACY REED...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1054 AM CDT WED APR 13 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON APRIL 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE. THIS IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE QUICKLY THURSDAY NIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN PARTS OF MISSOURI/ILLINOIS/INDIANA AND DRAGS AN OCCLUDED FRONT ACROSS THE HEARTLAND DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE COMMON OVER MOST OF THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND EVERYWHERE ON FRIDAY...AND SOME MAY BE SEVERE. SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND. IT APPEARS THE WEATHER PATTERN NEXT WEEK WILL BE UNSETTLED...WITH A SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST MOIST FLOW ALOFT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 72. RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-6400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............70 69 70 71 70 69 RH..............44 41 38 35 39 43 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST. MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 4.6 5.2 5.8 6.2 6.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 10 10 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............67 60 56 54 52 50 RH..............49 64 77 83 86 89 20 FT WIND......S 5 SE 3 SE 2 S 2 S 1 S 1 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....6400 5000 3100 1400 800 800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 10 S 12 S 12 S 12 SE 12 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76. RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4600 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2000-2600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............50 63 72 75 RH..............89 62 46 41 20 FT WIND......SE 2G5 SE 6G15 SE 8G15 SE 9G15 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 3200 4600 3300 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 13 SE 15 SE 20 SE 26 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...BOBBY BLOODWORTH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110413.MACYR.01/PAH