FNUS75 KPUB 131930
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT LYON FIRE...BENT COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
130 PM MDT WED APR 13 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT IS MAKING ITS MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE BURN
SITE.  WINDS HAVE COME UP FROM THE NORTHEAST AT GENERALLY 15-20 MPH
IN RESPONSE.  HUMIDITIES ARE MAINTAINING HIGHER LEVELS THAN IN
PREVIOUS DAYS...GENERALLY IN THE 30-35 PERCENT RANGE THIS
AFTERNOON.  WINDS WILL COME AROUND TO A MORE EASTERLY DIRECTION
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS BUT MAINTAINING SIMILAR SPEEDS.
TONIGHT...WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY BE FROM THE EAST-NORTHEAST WITH
SPEEDS DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH.

OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW...BRISK WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP BY LATE TOMORROW
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  FORTUNATELY...HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL PROBABLY STAY ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS AND THERE COULD BE A
FEW SHOWERS AROUND.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDINESS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHEAST WINDS 15-20 MPH...BECOMING EASTERLY
                    BY 1500. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH AT TIMES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40F.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH UNTIL 0300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    AROUND 40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...CHIEF AARON EVEATT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110413.FORTL.02/PUB