FNUS75 KSLC 131444
FWSSLC

SPOT FORECAST FOR COVE CREEK   SULPHURDALE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
844 AM MDT WED APR 13 2011

.DISCUSSION...ACTIVE WEATHER ON TAP OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IN THE
SHORT TERM INCREASING SOUTH WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY FIRE WEATHER
CONCERN TODAY...WITH SPEEDS RAMPING UP TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS
NEAR 50 MPH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT.
CONVECTION IS ALSO EXPECTED JUST PRIOR TO AND ALONG THE FRONT
STARTING AROUND 1500 THIS AFTERNOON...GUSTY MICROBURST CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM CELL THAT DEVELOPS...AS WELL
AS SPOTTY LIGHTNING STRIKES. FRONTAL TIMING FOR COVE CREEK LOOKS
TO FALL IN THE 1800 TO 2000 WINDOW THIS EVENING...WITH A RAPID
SWITCH TO GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND RAPID CHANGE FROM RAIN TO
SNOW WITHIN AN HOUR OF FRONTAL PASSAGE. A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED FOR A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNSET BEFORE
BECOMING SHOWERY...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS IN THE 2 TO 4 INCH RANGE
OVERNIGHT. THIS SYSTEM IS A FAST MOVING ONE WITH CLEARING
EXPECTED THU MORNING...GOOD MIXING WITH ADEQUATE CLEARING INDICES
EXPECTED BY MID MORNING THURSDAY HOLDING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A
LOW AMPLITUDE RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION STARTING
FRIDAY...WITH BORDERLINE CLEARING INDICES ANTICIPATED HEADING
INTO THIS WEEKEND.

.TODAY...
  LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 4.
  HAINES INDEX........4 ..LOW.
  CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT CLOUD COVER)
                      UNTIL NOON...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80
                      PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                      THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON...PROBABILITIES
                      INCREASING AFTER 1500.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....60.
  MIN HUMIDITY........19-22 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....WINDY. SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH
                      INCREASING TO SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE
                      AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO
                      30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH AFTER 1500.

.TONIGHT...
  LAL.................2 UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 1.
  HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.
  SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT CLOUD COVER) UNTIL
                      MIDNIGHT...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT
                      CLOUD COVER). RAIN SHOWERS RAPIDLY CHANGING TO
                      SNOW BETWEEN 1800 AND 2000...A
                      SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                      2000.
  MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-29.
  MAX HUMIDITY........85-92 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                      AROUND 40 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH
                      AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...
  LAL.................1.
  HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.
  CLEARING INDEX......730.
  SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT CLOUD COVER)
                      THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT
                      CLOUD COVER).
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-48.
  MIN HUMIDITY........28-30 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.



FORECASTER...MERRILL
REQUESTED BY...BEAVER RANGER DISTRICT
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110413.COVEC.01/SLC

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