FNUS73 KAPX 141919 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR FAIRVIEW OPENINGS...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 319 PM EDT THU APR 14 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1530 EDT ON APRIL 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT INTO ONTARIO AND THE NORTHERN LAKES THIS EVENING. THIS WILL CONTINUE BREEZY EASTERLY WINDS INTO THE EVENING...WITH LOW CLOUDS CONTINUING TO DECREASE OVER THE BURN AREA. PRECIPITATION FREE CONDITIONS WILL LINGER OVER THE REGION TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...AS A STORM SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LIFTS NORTH INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 44. RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4200 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (500) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (500). TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........37 33 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............44 43 RH..............30 30 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 HAINES INDEX....3 5 SMOKE DISP......500 500 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 24. RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(100). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........29 26 26 23 16 11 11 11 15 15 15 25 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............42 40 38 36 34 32 30 29 27 26 25 24 RH..............31 34 38 42 45 51 55 58 63 65 68 74 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E E NE NE NE NE E E 20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 7 6 5 4 4 5 6 6 6 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 SMOKE DISP......500 400 400 200 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 44. RH..................MIN 26 PERCENT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 17 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1000). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........25 44 44 44 74 74 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............24 29 36 40 43 43 RH..............74 60 41 31 27 26 20 FT WIND......M M M M M M 20 FT WIND GUST.10 20 25 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......100 200 600 900 900 900 $$ FORECASTER...SCOTT ROZANSKI REQUESTED BY...JOE ALYEA TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110414.FAIRV.01/APX