FNUS73 KAPX 141608 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR STATE 80 RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1208 PM EDT THU APR 14 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL CANADA...WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST INTO ONTARIO AND THE NORTHERN LAKES THIS AFTERNOON. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THE BREEZY EAST WINDS INTO THE AFTERNOON...WITH CLOUDS SLOW TO DECREASE OVER THE BURN AREA. PRECIPITATION FREE CONDITIONS WILL LINGER OVER THE REGION TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...AS A STORM SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LIFTS NORTH INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 46. RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4000-4800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........49 49 49 49 25 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............44 46 46 46 45 RH..............41 34 31 31 33 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27. RH..................MAX 65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........MIN 4. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........19 19 13 13 13 13 13 13 17 17 17 17 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............43 40 38 36 33 32 31 30 30 29 28 27 RH..............34 37 40 43 48 49 51 53 53 55 58 60 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 47. RH..................MIN 18 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 16 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........17 46 46 46 76 76 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............27 29 36 42 46 47 RH..............63 58 36 24 20 18 20 FT WIND......NE 6 NE 7 E 11 E 14 E 14 E 15 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 25 25 25 30 $$ FORECASTER...SCOTT ROZANSKI REQUESTED BY...JOHN ELLIOTT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110414.STATE.01/APX