FNUS73 KDVN 141336
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR DESERET 196...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
836 AM CDT THU APR 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER OKLAHOMA WILL TRACK NORTHEAST THROUGH
MISSOURI TODAY AND FRIDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN STRONG EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS
FROM 20 TO 30 MPH TODAY...WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 40 MPH ON FRIDAY. RAIN
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL REMAIN PRIMARILY IN WESTERN IOWA TODAY...BUT
WILL OVERSPREAD EASTERN IOWA LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 60.
RH..................66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 66 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS 15 TO 24 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................1
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 20 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 32 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............54     56     58     59     58
RH..............66     59     55     51     51
EYE LEVEL WIND..080/15 080/18 080/19 080/20 080/20
EYE LEVEL GUST..20     22     22     23     24
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 20 TO 24 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 30 TO 35 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50.
RH..................MIN 76 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BREEZY. NORTHEAST WINDS 18 TO 25 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................1
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4
MIXING HEIGHT.......3 TO 4.
MIXING WINDS........20OO TO 3000 FT AGL.

$$
FORECASTER...SHEETS
REQUESTED BY...ERIK ACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110414.DESER.01/DVN