FNUS74 KEPZ 141505
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR AREA 74 RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
905 AM MDT THU APR 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING ACROSS THE NEW MEXICO/COLORADO
BORDER AREA THIS MORNING WITH INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT BEHIND IT. WINDS WILL SLOWLY BE TURNING MORE NORTHWESTERLY
THROUGH THE DAY AND THEN NORTHERLY TONIGHT BEHIND THIS SYSTEM.
NEAR RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE BY EARLY
AFTERNOON AS MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALL BACK INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING INTO THE REGION FOR FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY WITH WINDS MUCH LIGHTER THAN THE LAST COUPLE OF
DAYS...HOWEVER NO SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE RETURN IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE WEEKEND WITH JUST A MODEST INCREASE EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK
BUT WINDS WILL RETURN STARTING SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-8 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST
                    AND INCREASING TO 13 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 28 MPH AROUND NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200-6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 26 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32 VALLEY...38-43 MIDSLOPE.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PCT VALLEY...20-25 PCT MIDSLOPE.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHWEST DECREASING TO 3 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 KNOTS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-8 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110414.AREA7.01/EPZ