FNUS73 KGRR 141300
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CLUB 37 RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
900 AM EDT THU APR 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA THIS MORNING...BUT DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL
CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

WINDS WILL BECOME QUITE BRISK BY FRIDAY AS LOW PRESSURE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST APPROACHES. WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH 40 MPH AT TIMES. THE
LOW WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN TO SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS RAIN WILL BECOME HEAVIER AND SPREAD ACROSS
ALL OF LOWER MICHIGAN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL MIDDAY.
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 12 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13
                    MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 9 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5900-6400
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-500 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 600-900
                    (EXCELLENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........57     45     38     30
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............41     46     52     51
RH..............66     49     41     37
20 FT WIND......NE 10  NE 10  NE 10  NE 10
20 FT GUST......20     20     20     15
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.
RH..................MAX 58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO
                    100-300 (POOR TO GOOD) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 51.
RH..................MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 20 TO 28 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 43 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-600 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO
                    1100-1400 (EXCELLENT).

$$
FORECASTER...MEADE
REQUESTED BY...BOB LITTLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110414.CLUB3.01/GRR