FNUS74 KLIX 150133 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR INDEPENDENCE...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 833 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE MIDWEST WILL FORCE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION TOMORROW. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THIS FRONT FOR THE WEEKEND. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST EARLY NEXT WEEK...ALLOWING ANOTHER WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO PASS THROUGH THE GULF SOUTH MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER WEAK LOW SHOULD THEN PASS THROUGH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. 1. PLEASE INCLUDE A FOG POTENTIAL STATEMENT, WITH TYPE/EXTENT/TIMING OF FOG OCCURRENCE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING. DENSE FOG IS NOT ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE TO NEAR 5 KNOTS BY 4 AM AND REMAIN STEADY THROUGH SUNRISE. AS A RESULT...THIS MIXING WILL PREVENT FOG DEVELOPMENT IN OPEN AREAS. NEAR TREES AND VALLEYS...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PATCHY FOG DEVELOP BUT IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME MODERATE OR DENSE. 2. IS WIND EXPECTED TO GO CALM TONIGHT WITH A DEEPENING LOW OVER THE CENTRAL AND LOWER PLAINS...A MODERATE WIND FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND MISSISSIPPI COAST OVERNIGHT. WINDS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TO GO CALM OVERNIGHT. 3. WHAT IS THE LOWEST RH EXPECTED FRIDAY 65 PERCENT...DEWPOINT READINGS WILL REMAIN AROUND 70F ON FRIDAY...DROPPING RAPIDLY LATE FRIDAY EVENING. 4. WHAT IS THE HIGHEST GUST EXPECTED FRIDAY WITH THE APPROACH OF THIS DEEP LOW...SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY WITH SURFACE HEATING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM GUST OF 25 KNOTS IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY. 5. ACCORDING TO THE 331PM AFD, IT APPEARS WE MAY HAVE SEVERE WEATHER BEGINNING FRIDAY AT 7PM. WHAT ARE THE CHANCES OF LIGHTNING OR THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING DURING THE HOURS LEADING UP TO 7PM 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IS FORECASTED WITH AN OPPORTUNE TIME BETWEEN 5 PM AND 9 PM FRIDAY. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE CONVECTIVELY UNSTABLE AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY DURING THE SAME TIME FRAME. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........48 48 48 48 79 79 79 79 79 79 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............71 68 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 66 RH..............76 84 87 87 90 93 93 97 97 97 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 9 9 9 9 9 16 16 16 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 4 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........79 79 79 79 68 68 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............66 68 75 77 79 78 RH..............97 93 76 69 62 64 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 7 S 9 S 10 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 20 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 6 SE 7 S 9 S 10 S 10 S 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 15 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1500 2500 2500 2800 2500 MIX HGT (M).....270 460 760 760 850 760 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 16 S 22 S 24 S 24 S 25 S 22 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 7 S 10 S 11 S 11 S 11 S 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 50 50 .FRIDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........68 70 70 70 35 35 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............75 71 68 67 65 63 RH..............71 79 84 78 75 75 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 9 S 7 SW 6 SW 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 10 S 9 S 7 SW 6 SW 5 W 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..20 15 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 1600 2100 2100 2000 2400 MIX HGT (M).....760 490 640 640 610 730 TRANSPORT WIND..S 22 S 26 S 29 S 29 SW 24 W 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 10 S 12 S 13 S 13 SW 11 W 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 20 20 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SUNDAY... CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. .MONDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...SAMI GRAY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110414.INDEP.01/LIX