FNUS74 KLZK 141342 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR CENTER POINT...NPS BUFFALO NATIONAL RIVER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 842 AM CDT THU APR 14 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0830 CDT ON APRIL 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE DRY WEATHER WILL COME TO AN END FOR MOST AREAS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS A STORM SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH THE STATE. A WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL LIFT NORTH THROUGH ARKANSAS TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY THE COLD FRONT PUSHING EAST ACROSS THE STATE EARLY FRIDAY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM. TODAY...LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON AS MIXING HEIGHTS RISE. DEW POINTS ARE A FEW DEGREES HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY MORNING...BUT RH VALUES WILL STILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW TO MID 40 PERCENT RANGE. THIS ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE A MODERATE TO HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON. TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE STATE AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES THROUGH. BEHIND THE FRONT ON FRIDAY...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL USHER IN COOLER AND DRIER AIR. AT THIS TIME IT DOES NOT APPEAR RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE MET ON FRIDAY...HOWEVER GUSTY WEST WINDS COMBINED WITH THE INFLUX OF DRIER AIR WILL MEAN THAT DANGER WILL INCREASE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........60 AT REQUEST...MAX 72. RH..................57 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 47 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH WINDS INCREASING TO 22 TO 31 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6400 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............60 63 66 69 70 71 71 71 71 71 RH..............57 55 53 51 49 47 47 48 49 52 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 13 15 16 17 18 18 18 17 16 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.6 8 9 10 10 11 11 11 10 10 EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 10 10 13 13 13 13 13 13 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.17 22 25 28 30 31 32 32 32 32 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 22 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 21 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3900 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............70 64 60 57 55 53 RH..............52 63 74 80 87 93 20 FT WIND......SE 16 SE 14 S 12 S 10 S 10 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 20 20 20 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.10 8 7 6 6 5 EYE LVL WND GST.10 8 8 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.31 30 26 24 22 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 50 80 80 70 60 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57. RH..................MIN 62 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 21 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 31 TO 32 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5500 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............50 50 53 54 RH..............100 93 74 63 20 FT WIND......S 10G20 SW 12G25 SW 16G30 SW 17G30 EYE LVL WND DIR.S SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.6 7 10 10 EYE LVL WND GST.10 13 15 15 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W TRANSP WIND SPD.21 22 26 31 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 30 $$ FORECASTER...J LEWIS REQUESTED BY...COLLEEN BREEDLOVE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110414.CENTE.01/LZK