FNUS74 KMEG 141125 FWSMEG SPOT FORECAST FOR WITCH DANCE...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 625 AM CDT THU APR 14 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE MIDSOUTH TODAY...IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL BRING INCREASED CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT AND SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH ON FRIDAY. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AREAWIDE. FOLLOWING A COOL DAY SATURDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO NEAR NORMAL ON SUNDAY... FOLLOWED BY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM CLOUD COVER.....MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PRECIP CHC (%)..0 0 0 0 PRECIP TYPE.....NONE NONE NONE NONE WEATHER COV..... TEMPERATURE.....71 77 81 82 DEWPOINT........50 50 50 51 RH (%)..........48 39 34 34 20FT WIND MPH...SE 6 S 8 S 9 S 9 20FT WIND GUST..8 11 12 12 MIXHGT M AGL....1112 1539 1829 1768 MIXHGT FT AGL...3649 5052 6001 5803 MIXHGT M MSL....1237 1668 1954 1893 MIXHGT FT MSL...4059 5474 6411 6213 TRANS WND M/S...SE 3 SE 5 S 6 S 6 TRANS WND MPH...SE 7 SE 12 S 14 S 13 CATEGORY DAY....2 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM CLOUD COVER.....PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%)..10 10 20 40 40 50 PRECIP TYPE.....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE TEMPERATURE.....80 75 67 65 63 62 DEWPOINT........52 53 54 54 55 55 RH (%)..........38 46 62 68 73 77 20FT WIND MPH...SE 7 SE 6 SE 7 SE 8 S 9 S 12 20FT WIND GUST..9 8 9 11 12 16 MIXHGT M AGL....566 0 0 0 16 61 MIXHGT FT AGL...1860 0 0 0 53 201 MIXHGT M MSL....696 0 62 63 112 186 MIXHGT FT MSL...2286 0 204 207 370 611 TRANS WND M/S...SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 S 8 TRANS WND MPH...SE 12 SE 12 SE 12 SE 12 SE 13 S 17 CATEGORY DAY....2 1 1 1 1 1 .FRIDAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM CLOUD COVER.....CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%)..90 90 90 90 90 80 PRECIP TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE TEMPERATURE.....60 63 67 71 75 77 DEWPOINT........57 59 62 64 65 65 RH (%)..........89 89 82 78 72 67 20FT WIND MPH...S 12 S 12 S 13 S 14 S 14 SW 14 20FT WIND GUST..16 16 18 19 19 19 MIXHGT M AGL....70 226 502 626 935 1290 MIXHGT FT AGL...231 744 1650 2056 3069 4234 MIXHGT M MSL....197 351 627 751 1060 1415 MIXHGT FT MSL...649 1154 2060 2466 3479 4644 TRANS WND M/S...S 8 S 9 S 11 S 13 S 13 S 14 TRANS WND MPH...S 18 S 20 S 24 S 28 S 30 S 31 CATEGORY DAY....1 2 3 4 4 5 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...CHASKELSON REQUESTED BY...JIM WALDEN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110414.WITCH.01/MEG