FNUS74 KMEG 142304 FWSMEG SPOT FORECAST FOR WITCH DANCE...U. S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 604 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 CDT ON APRIL 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... .DISCUSSION... CALM WEATHER CURRENTLY IN PLACE ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH WILL GIVE WAY TO STORMY CONDITIONS BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO AROUND 10 KNOTS BETWEEN 10 PM AND 2 AM WITH VERY WINDY CONDITIONS TOMORROW. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE. THE FIRST ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OUT OF THE REGION BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING OR EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A SECOND ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON ALONG A COLD FRONT. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE COMPLETELY THROUGH THE AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT...ENDING THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER. CLEAR AND CALM WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. .TODAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM CLOUD COVER.....PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PRECIP CHC (%)..0 0 0 0 0 0 PRECIP TYPE.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE WEATHER COV..... TEMPERATURE.....49 55 68 76 78 82 DEWPOINT........47 49 50 50 47 51 RH (%)..........92 81 53 40 33 34 20FT WIND MPH...E 2 E 3 SE 6 S 8 S 9 S 9 20FT WIND GUST..2 4 8 11 12 12 MIXHGT M AGL....0 0 213 1527 2423 2243 MIXHGT FT AGL...0 0 702 5010 7952 7359 MIXHGT M MSL....2 30 338 1655 2549 2367 MIXHGT FT MSL...7 100 1112 5432 8364 7769 TRANS WND M/S...E 2 E 2 SE 3 SE 4 S 5 S 6 TRANS WND MPH...E 5 E 5 SE 6 SE 8 S 12 S 14 CATEGORY DAY....1 1 1 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM CLOUD COVER.....PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%)..10 10 10 50 50 50 PRECIP TYPE.....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE TEMPERATURE.....80 75 67 65 63 61 DEWPOINT........52 53 54 54 55 55 RH (%)..........38 46 62 68 73 80 20FT WIND MPH...SE 7 S 6 SE 6 SE 7 SE 8 SE 10 20FT WIND GUST..9 8 8 9 11 14 MIXHGT M AGL....699 0 0 0 0 12 MIXHGT FT AGL...2295 0 0 0 0 41 MIXHGT M MSL....821 0 51 54 82 137 MIXHGT FT MSL...2696 0 168 179 271 451 TRANS WND M/S...SE 4 SE 3 SE 4 SE 4 SE 6 SE 8 TRANS WND MPH...SE 9 SE 7 SE 9 SE 9 SE 13 SE 17 CATEGORY DAY....2 1 1 1 1 1 .FRIDAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM CLOUD COVER.....CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%)..90 90 90 90 90 70 PRECIP TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY TEMPERATURE.....59 62 66 72 75 77 DEWPOINT........57 59 62 64 65 65 RH (%)..........92 92 85 76 72 67 20FT WIND MPH...SE 12 S 14 S 15 S 17 S 17 S 15 20FT WIND GUST..16 19 21 23 23 21 MIXHGT M AGL....102 261 450 548 852 1171 MIXHGT FT AGL...336 859 1479 1799 2796 3845 MIXHGT M MSL....230 386 575 673 977 1296 MIXHGT FT MSL...756 1269 1889 2209 3206 4255 TRANS WND M/S...SE 8 S 10 S 13 S 14 S 16 S 17 TRANS WND MPH...SE 18 S 22 S 29 S 31 S 36 S 38 CATEGORY DAY....1 2 3 3 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...SCOTTEN M. REQUESTED BY...JIM WALDEN AFMO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110414.WITCH.02/MEG