FNUS72 KMHX 141128
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOOPY RD...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
728 AM EDT THU APR 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THROUGH TONIGHT THEN
SLIDE OFFSHORE FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST
SATURDAY AND CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THEN SLIDE OFFSHORE
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    LATE AFTERNOON AS SEA BREEZE MOVES INLAND.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 2800 FT
                    AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............11     11     11     12
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................59     68     72     72
RH..................62     43     38     38
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 6   NE 5   N 2    ESE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....8      7             9
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING E.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH...BECOMING EAST 9 TO 12
                    MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............12     12     13     14     15     15
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................69     62     58     55     52     51
RH..................44     58     69     77     86     89
20 FT WIND (MPH)....SE 5   SE 6   E 5    E 5    E 4    E 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....   9   10                   7      8

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4300-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............16     17     21     26     29     32
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................49     52     61     66     69     70
RH..................96     86     60     48     45     44
20 FT WIND (MPH)....E 5    NE 5   E 7    E 8    E 9    E 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....              10     15     15     15

$$
FORECASTER...FREDERICK
REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110414.LOOPY.01/MHX