FNUS72 KMLB 140907
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR UCF...UNIVERSITY OF CENTRAL FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
507 AM EDT THU APR 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT EARLY THIS MORNING THEN THE EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE INLAND A LITTLE FASTER THAN
YESTERDAY. STILL...THE BOUNDARY MAY NOT REACH THE BURN SITE UNTIL MID
AFTERNOON AS THE MODELS OFTEN INCREASE EAST WINDS TOO QUICKLY WHEN
THERE IS A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT.  HAVE INDICATED LIGHT EAST FLOW
THIS MORNING...BUT THERE COULD JUST AS WELL BE VARIABLE WINDS UNTIL
THE SEA BREEZE REACHES THE SITE. DESPITE RATHER HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS...
DISPERSION WILL BE IN THE POOR TO FAIR RANGE DUE TO GENERALLY WEAK
TRANSPORT WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............72  77  79  81  83  83  83  83  83  81  79  76
RH..............61  51  42  39  35  32  32  33  37  41  48  51
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   4   5   6   7   8   10  10  10  10  10  9
20 FT WIND GUST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............6.

$$
FORECASTER...LASCODY
REQUESTED BY...ALAINA BERNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110414.UCF__.01/MLB