FNUS74 KOUN 141151
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR WASHITA CREEK...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
651 AM CDT THU APR 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0642 CDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A DRYLINE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST BEHIND THE DRYLINE.
MUCH DRIER AIR WILL ALSO MOVE INTO THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING (BETWEEN 9 AND 11 PM). WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND BECOME GUSTY AFTER THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE. VERY STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
AN INCREASE IN THE WILDFIRE POTENTIAL WILL ALSO OCCUR FRIDAY
AFTERNOON... ESPECIALLY IN PARTS OF SOUTHWEST OK AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND. SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF OKLAHOMA THROUGH FRIDAY.
RAIN CHANCES WILL THEN RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 35 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 23
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12500-14000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH INCREASING TO 31 TO 38
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     63     69     75     79     80
RH..............80     75     57     33     19     15
20 FT WIND......S 13   S 16   S 16   SW 16  SW 20  SW 23
20 FT WIND GUST.20     25     25     25     30     35
MIX HGT (FT)....500    1200   3600   7200   9500   12500
MIX HGT (M).....150    370    1100   2190   2900   3810
TRANSPORT WIND..S 20   S 25   SW 26  W 25   SW 31  SW 37
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 9    S 11   SW 12  W 11   SW 14  SW 17

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 TO 38 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. NORTHWEST WINDS 22 TO 29 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 45 MPH BECOMING 24 TO 26 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700-9500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 38 TO 46 MPH INCREASING TO 48 TO 55
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MAXWELL
REQUESTED BY...BIA FIRE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110414.WASHI.01/OUN