FNUS73 KPAH 141426 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CROWLEYS RIDGE...MISSOURI DEPT. OF CONSERVATIN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 926 AM CDT THU APR 14 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MANY COMMUNITIES WILL SEE MORE CLOUDS AND WARMER CONDITIONS TODAY AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES OUR REGION. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY...IT WILL PUSH A COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. AS A RESULT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO A GOOD BET ON FRIDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE DEPARTING SYSTEM. AFTER A BRIEF RESPITE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...THE HEARTLAND WILL REMAIN IN A RATHER ACTIVE PATTERN THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 74. RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 600-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400-6400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 26 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............62 65 68 70 71 73 73 73 72 RH..............58 54 49 45 42 40 40 41 44 20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE SE SE E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 8 8 8 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 20 20 20 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.9 3.5 4.1 4.8 5.4 5.9 6.3 6.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.7 9 13 16 18 21 22 24 26 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55. RH..................MAX 97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CWR.................14 PERCENT INCREASING TO 89 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 28 TO 36 MPH INCREASING TO 36 TO 44 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 25 TO 31 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO AROUND 21 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............70 65 62 60 57 56 RH..............49 59 66 71 79 86 20 FT WIND......E 6 E 7 E 8 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 20 20 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....6300 4800 2800 1000 500 500 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 28 SE 36 SE 41 SE 44 S 36 S 25 CWR.............10 10 10 90 90 90 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...MATT BOWYER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110414.CROWL.01/PAH