FNUS75 KPUB 141433
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT LYON FIRE...BENT COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
833 AM MDT THU APR 14 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS TRACKING ACROSS THE STATE
TODAY...BRINGING MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND HIGHER
HUMIDITY LEVELS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTHEAST
CORNER OF THE STATE BY NOON...AND VERY STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST
WINDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW WILL THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE FIRE
AREA. THE HIGHEST WINDS LOOK TO BE WITHIN A WINDOW FROM 6 PM UNTIL
MIDNIGHT...BUT STRONG WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ANYTIME AFTER NOON
TODAY...AND LAST THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
SUSTAINED NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS AS HIGH AS 55 MPH.

HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO DROP TOMORROW...AND WITH THE WINDS
STILL HAVING THE POTENTIAL TO BE STRONG...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AREA FOR FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-57F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........BREEZY. EAST-NORTHEAST 5-9 MPH UNTIL 0900. WINDS
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST 22-26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    44 MPH AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    AROUND 31 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1700.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(56 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-34F.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 18-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    39 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 2500 FT AGL
                    UNTIL 0100...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 31 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    AROUND 37 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........BREEZY. NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS 22-26 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 9000 FT AGL AFTER 1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    1000...THEN EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...MOORE
REQUESTED BY...CHIEF AARON EVEATT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110414.FORTL.01/PUB