FNUS75 KPUB 142332
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT LYON FIRE...FORT LYON FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
532 PM MDT THU APR 14 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM MDT FRIDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO CENTRAL KANSAS THIS EVENING IS
PRODUCING MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES...SHOWERS AND HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS
OVER THE FIRE THIS EVENING. AS THIS STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PUSH
INTO KANSAS TONIGHT...EXPECT VERY STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST
WINDS TO DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW SPREADING ACROSS THE FIRE
AREA. THE HIGHEST WINDS SHOULD BE NOTED FROM TONIGHT INTO EARLY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THEREFORE A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT OVER
THE FORT LYON FIRE UNTIL 2 PM MDT FRIDAY.  SUSTAINED NORTH TO
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED WITH OCCASIONAL WIND
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH AT TIMES.

HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE FRIDAY...AND WHEN COMBINED
WITH THE PROJECTED STRONG WINDS...A RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT
FROM 11 AM MDT FRIDAY TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-39F.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-66 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 18-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    55 MPH AT TIMES
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0400...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-67F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-16 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........VERY WINDY AT TIMES. NORTH WINDS 26-30 MPH WITH WIND
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH AT TIMES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
REQUESTED BY...CHIEF AARON EVEATT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110414.FORTL.02/PUB