FNUS71 KRNK 142024
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE HEAVEN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
424 PM EDT THU APR 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1535 EDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
VERY DRY AIR MASS OVER THE AREA. IN AREAS WERE MIXING IS THE
GREATEST...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DROPPING TO NEAR 20 PERCENT.
OTHER AREAS...RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 30 PERCENT WITH A LIGHT SOUTHEAST
MOISTURE FEED. TONIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE SWINGS SOUTHEAST OFF THE
VIRGINIA COAST...WITH THE PARENT HIGH SITUATED OVER SOUTHEAST CANADA.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BEGIN TO RECOVER LATER THIS EVENING.

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WORKS INTO THE PLAINS AND EVENTUALLY INTO
THE OHIO VALLEY INTO SATURDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE GOING TO INCREASE
TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE MOUNTAINS. THE
HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO AROUND 30 PERCENT IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
WEST VIRGINIA SO FIRE DANGER MAY BE HIGH IN ISOLATED SPOTS. HUMIDITIES
START TO INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVING AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WINDS FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY COULD GUST UP TO 55 TO 60 MPH ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
OF FAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA INTO SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.
&&

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          4 PM
SKY (%).............24
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE
TEMP................63
RH..................30
20 FT WIND..........SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5
CWR.................0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5
                    TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............31     34     36     32     16     23
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................63     59     56     53     51     50
RH..................26     29     35     45     61     66
20 FT WIND..........SE 3   SE 4   S 5    S 5    S 6    SE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      10     10     15     15
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0      0

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35
                    MPH LATE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 32
                    TO 38 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............29     42     48     60     74     75
WEATHER COV.........                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP................48     49     53     56     58     60
RH..................72     71     63     57     54     49
20 FT WIND..........SE 9   SE 10  SE 10  SE 11  SE 10  SE 13
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     20     25     25     25     30
CWR.................0      10     10     10     10     20

$$
FORECASTER...STONEFIELD
REQUESTED BY...HAROLD SUTHERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110414.HORSE.02/RNK