FNUS74 KTSA 141333 FWSTSA FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR RED LICK...U.F.S.S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 833 AM CDT THU APR 14 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING AS DEEPENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY IN RESPONSE TO THE SOUTHERLY WINDS...WHICH WILL KEEP MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ABOVE 45 PERCENT. PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIKELY DURING THE EVENING HOURS...WITH UP TO AN INCH OF RAIN POSSIBLE. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT...AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A HIGH FIRE DANGER TOMORROW. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 81. RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1900-3600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-6800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 17 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 29 TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM TEMP............69 73 76 78 80 81 81 DEWPT...........56 57 57 58 59 60 61 RH..............63 57 52 51 49 50 51 20FT WIND DIR...SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20FT SPD (MPH)..9 10 10 10 11 11 11 20FT GUST(MPH)..25 25 30 30 30 30 30 CLOUDS (%)......41 47 53 58 63 68 73 WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW MIXHGT/100(FT)..036 044 053 062 067 068 060 TR WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S TR WIND SPD(MPH)25 29 32 35 35 35 32 STABILITY.......C B B B B C C 1700FT MIX T (F)69 73 76 78 80 81 81 VENT/1000(M 3/S)012 017 023 030 032 032 026 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 17 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 2 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63. RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100-6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 38 TO 41 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM TEMP............53 52 52 54 56 58 59 61 61 62 63 63 DEWPT...........50 46 44 42 40 38 36 35 34 33 32 32 RH..............91 82 74 64 55 48 42 38 35 33 32 32 20FT WIND DIR...W W W W W W W W W W W W 20FT SPD (MPH)..7 6 8 10 13 14 14 15 17 19 21 18 20FT GUST(MPH)..15 15 15 20 20 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 CLOUDS (%)......59 61 62 64 66 67 68 69 69 70 71 68 WEATHER COV.....CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW MIXHGT/100(FT)..000 000 009 019 030 039 047 054 059 060 058 051 TR WIND DIR.....W W W W W W W W W W W W TR WIND SPD(MPH)6 9 15 21 26 31 35 38 40 41 40 38 STABILITY.......F F D D D C C D D D D E 1700FT MIX T (F)64 61 63 54 56 58 59 61 61 62 63 63 VENT/1000(M 3/S)000 000 002 005 011 016 022 028 032 034 032 026 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...HATFIELD REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN ROSE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110414.REDLI.01/TSA