FNUS71 KBGM 151328 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR SNYDER...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 928 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING SUNNY DRY WEATHER TODAY WITH LIGHT WINDS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL AS LOW AS 25 TO 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT... THEN SOME RAIN AND COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4100-5500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 14 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (17500-55400 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............79 60 52 45 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................48 54 58 56 RH..................49 32 33 47 20 FT WIND..........E 5 E 6 E 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 LAL.................1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 VRATE KT-FT/1000....18 18 55 55 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1500-2400 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 24 TO 31 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (55400-68000 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............41 36 41 49 54 66 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP................56 50 47 43 38 35 RH..................47 68 76 82 82 89 20 FT WIND..........SE 6 SE 5 SE 5 SE 4 E 4 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 2 2 2 VRATE KT-FT/1000....55 55 55 55 68 68 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE MORNING. RAIN LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-4000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 31 TO 36 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 54 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (68000-83900 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............81 93 95 98 100 100 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP................34 34 39 44 48 49 RH..................82 89 79 70 63 71 20 FT WIND..........E 6 E 7 E 8 E 9 E 10 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 20 20 20 25 25 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 VRATE KT-FT/1000....68 68 68 68 84 84 $$ FORECASTER...EVANS REQUESTED BY...TOMAS LIOGYS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110415.SNYDE.01/BGM