FNUS73 KGRR 151235
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR JACK PINE BUDWORM...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
835 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EDT ON APRIL 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WINDY AND DRY TODAY WITH EAST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 40
MPH. WIDESPREAD RAIN IS A HIGH PROBABILITY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 51.
RH..................31 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 19 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS 19 TO 24 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 21 TO 28 MPH INCREASING TO 32 TO 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2800-3300
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-600 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO
                    900-1300 (EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........59     73     80     89
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............45     50     50     50
RH..............31     27     28     27
20 FT WIND......E 15   E 14   E 16   E 19
20 FT GUST......30     30     30     40
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. EAST WINDS 19 TO 24 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 31 TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO 29 TO 30 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO
                    200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD) OVERNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52.
RH..................MIN 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 18 MPH IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 500-900
                    (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MEADE
REQUESTED BY...BOB LITTLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110415.JACKP.01/GRR