FNUS72 KMLB 151138
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR HI2AS...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
738 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE
AS THEY BECOME SOUTHEAST FROM LATE MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR A MID TO LATE AFTERNOON SHOWER OR POSSIBLY A LIGHTNING STORM.
DISPERSION WILL BE VERY GOOD BY THIS AFTERNOON AS SOUTHEAST FLOW
INCREASES THROUGHOUT A DEEPENING MIXING LAYER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 12 TO 14 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500 LDT...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-5300 FT AGL BY
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 22
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....59.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............70  76  80  83  85  85  85  85  82  81  79  77
RH..............73  60  53  48  45  44  45  45  48  52  56  60
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..6   8   10  12  13  13  13  13  13  12  10  9
20 FT WIND GUST.    10          15  20  20  15  15  15      10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY EVENING. PATCHY FOG LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS BECOMING SOUTH NEAR 5 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200 LDT...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 400 FT
                    AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 21 TO 22 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 9 TO 10
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
LVORI...............8.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO
                    17 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UTNIL 1400 LDT...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-5800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 21 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....68.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...MEGAN KESERAUSKIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110415.HI2AS.01/MLB