FNUS71 KRNK 152215 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE HEAVEN...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 615 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1815 EDT ON APRIL 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SATURDAY... .DISCUSSION... WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST WITH STRONG GUSTS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AFTER 9PM TONIGHT THEN MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AFTER 1AM ON SATURDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE EARLY MORNING SATURDAY...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE. SOME THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. RAINFALL WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA QUICKLY DURING SATURDAY EVENING. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE STRONG COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY. && .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 17 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP 40 MPH. CWR (0.01 IN).......90 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 37 TO 46 MPH...INCREASING TO 59 TO 67 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............80 67 94 99 100 100 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................59 59 58 57 56 56 RH..................65 67 71 71 71 74 20 FT WIND..........SE 14 SE 14 SE 14 SE 14 SE 15 SE 16 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 35 40 35 35 40 CWR.................20 40 50 60 70 80 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR (0.01 IN).......90 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 55 TO 64 MPH...DECREASING TO 44 TO 53 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 32 TO 38 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............99 98 86 77 66 81 WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................55 54 55 55 56 56 RH..................80 87 95 89 73 67 20 FT WIND..........S 16 S 16 S 15 SW 14 SW 14 W 13 20 FT WIND GUST.....40 45 40 40 35 30 CWR.................90 90 90 80 60 30 $$ FORECASTER...SILVERMAN REQUESTED BY...RON NIXON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110415.HORSE.01/RNK