FNUS75 KGJT 160355
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ONE MILE...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
955 PM MDT FRI APR 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE BURN SITE
ON SATURDAY...THOUGH CLOUDS WILL BE INCREASING FROM THE NORTHWEST
DURING THE AFTERNOON. A WEAK DISTURBANCE IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW
WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. ANTICIPATE ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR MAINLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN
NORTH OF THE BURN SITE.

.TODAY (SATURDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH THROUGH 1000...THEN
     BECOMING WEST AND INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH
    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD OR VERY GOOD BY IGNITION TIME...
    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7800 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 22 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD DECREASING TO GOOD IN THE LATE
                    EVENING...THEN POOR OVERNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH THROUGH 0900...
    TRANSITIONING TO WEST AND INCREASING TO 13 TO
    18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8300 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...J CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110416.ONEMI.01/GJT