FNUS75 KGJT 161439
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR YELLOW PINE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
839 AM MDT SAT APR 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0825 MDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH CLOUDS WILL STREAM OVER THE BURN SITE IN
NORTHWEST FLOW TODAY. THE LATEST FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW
NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING AT THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON. NEEDLE
CREEK ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE VALLEY SHOWED NORTHWEST (UPSLOPE)
ALL OF FRIDAY. PERSISTENCE WOULD SAY YOU WOULD AGAIN HAVE EYE-
LEVEL WINDS THAT ARE UPSLOPE...THOUGH 20-FOOT WINDS COULD STILL BE
NORTHWEST/GRADIENT FLOW. OTHERWISE EXPECT ABOUT 5-8 DEGREES OF
WARMING TODAY. SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP LATE SUNDAY...INITIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN. SNOW IS LIKELY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AND POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-52 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 3-8 MPH UNTIL 1100...INCREASING
                    TO WEST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH THIS
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...BECOMING EXCELLENT THIS
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...INCREASING
                    TO 5500 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (19000 KNOT-FT).

.SUNDAY...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...CO-GMF
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110416.YELLO.01/GJT