FNUS73 KDMX 171248
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELKHART...IOWA DNR-USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
748 AM CDT SUN APR 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE REMEMBER TO SUBMIT A MID BURN OBSERVATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER WESTERN IOWA WILL MOVE EAST.  NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST TO EAST WITH ITS PASSAGE.  AN AREA OF SHOWERS WILL
MOVE INTO THE STATE LATER TODAY.  ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER
200 PM AT THE BURN SITE...WITH THE CHANCE FOR RAIN INCREASING AFTER 400 PM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL (34100 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........85  89  91  90  90  89  88  87
WEATHER COV.....                    SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....                    RW  RW  RW
TEMP............45  47  49  50  52  52  52  51
RH..............55  53  50  50  46  48  50  52
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..3   5   6   7   7   8   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.5               10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.7 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9
MIXNG WIND DIR..NE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  E
MIXNG WIND SPD..6   6   7   8   9   10  12  14
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...SCHUMACHER
REQUESTED BY...RYAN SCHLATER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110417.ELKHA.01/DMX