FNUS74 KEPZ 171631
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR AREA 74 RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1031 AM MDT SUN APR 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1025 MDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
STRENGTHENING WINDS ALOFT AND A LEE TROUGH DEVELOPING OVER
EASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL ALLOW WINDS TO INCREASE OVER THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE INCREASING
WINDS...COMBINED WITH VERY DRY CONDITIONS AND VERY HIGH TO
EXTREME FIRE DANGER RATINGS...WILL CREATE A LONG TERM CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER SCENARIO. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE IN THE MID
80S TO AROUND 90 WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS TO LOW TEENS. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL RUN 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL EACH DAY THROUGH THE COMING WEEK. THERE MAY
BE A SMALL INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOR THE EARLY PART OF
THE WEEK...BUT MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN BELOW 15
PERCENT. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY
THIS WEEK WITH MONDAY LIKELY BEING THE MOST EXTREME DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST INCREASING TO 12 TO 22 MPH WITH AFTERNOON
                    GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 17 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........EXCELLENT (170000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 11 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 8
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 13 KNOTS.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY..WEST 11 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO
                    21 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........VERY GOOD (140000 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...JAMIE FREDERICK
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110417.AREA7.01/EPZ