FNUS74 KEPZ 171646
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST CENTER RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1046 AM MDT SUN APR 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1035 MDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
INCREASING WINDS ALOFT AND LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER
EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE WILL CAUSE WINDS
TO STRENGTHEN THIS AFTERNOON AND MONDAY. THE INCREASING
WINDS...COMBINED WITH VERY DRY CONDITIONS AND VERY HIGH TO
EXTREME FIRE DANGER RATINGS...WILL CREATE A LONG TERM CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER SCENARIO. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS TO LOW TEENS. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL RUN 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL EACH DAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY REMAINING NEAR OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY WITH
MONDAY LIKELY BEING THE MOST EXTREME DAY DUE TO HIGHER WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 14 TO 22 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS
                    TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 18 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........EXCELLENT (162000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 11 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 8
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 11 KNOTS.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY..SOUTH 11 TO 16 MPH INCREASING
                    TO 21 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                    GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........VERY GOOD (136500 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110417.EASTC.01/EPZ