FNUS75 KGJT 171009
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR YELLOW PINE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
409 AM MDT SUN APR 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SERIES OF MOIST PACIFIC STORMS WILL BE PASSING THROUGH THE REGION
THROUGH TUESDAY. INITIALLY...THESE STORMS WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE
BURN SITE...WITH ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HOWEVER...A DEEPER SURGE OF MOISTURE
WILL ARRIVE ON MONDAY...WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW EXPECTED.
RAIN MAY FALL AT ELEVATIONS UP TO 10,000 FEET DUE TO THE WARM NATURE
OF THESE STORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THIS MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPG UNTIL 1000...
                    THEN WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 40 MPH...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 25000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8600 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 MPH INCREASING TO 38 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN DECREASING TO POOR
                    (LESS THAN 35000 KNOT-FT)
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 30000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO
                    8500 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35 MPH INCREASING TO 46 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...HANS OHME
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110417.YELLO.01/GJT