FNUS74 KLCH 171754
FWSLCH

SPOT FORECAST FOR PIPELINE FIRE...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1254 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FIRE SPOT AREA FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. DESPITE THE SOUTHEAST WINDS...RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN ON THE LOW SIDE AND BETWEEN
30 TO 40 PERCENT. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE...ALONG WITH LOW
CLOUDS DEVELOPING TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES
TO INCREASE WITH THE PREVAILING SOUTHERLY WINDS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-5600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 16 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....EXCELLENT.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID
SKY (%).........10  10  10  10  10  10  15  25  46  56  56  56
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............77  79  80  80  79  79  77  73  71  69  68  67
RH..............33  33  33  33  37  40  44  51  60  66  70  78
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   8   8   8   8   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.8   8   8   8   8   8   6   6   6   6   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 5.0 5.3 5.6 4.7 3.8 2.9 2.3 1.6 0.9 0.8 0.7
MIX HGT (KM)....1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.16  17  18  20  21  22  22  20  16  14  14  15
TRANS SPD (M/S).7   8   8   9   9   10  10  9   7   6   6   7
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-900 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSION....POOR.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 24 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSION....EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...RUA
REQUESTED BY...HERMAN HALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110417.PIPEL.01/LCH