FNUS73 KICT 181339 FWSICT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUVALL...KDWP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 839 AM CDT MON APR 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST LATE THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE TODAY AS THE SURFACE BOUNDARY STAYS SOUTH ALONG THE KANSAS/OKLAHOMA BORDER. A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS THIS EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EJECTS FROM THE ROCKIES. DEPENDING ON SURFACE HEATING AND INSTABILITY...SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BE STRONG. DUNTEN .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 11 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........EAST 15 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........70 69 68 68 67 66 64 63 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............53 57 62 63 65 65 65 64 RH..............66 56 47 53 52 51 52 54 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 9 9 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.2 3.2 MIXNG WIND DIR..NE E E E E E E E MIXNG WIND SPD..16 15 15 15 15 16 18 21 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 31 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 22 TO 28 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........63 72 83 92 92 92 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............63 57 53 51 48 46 RH..............57 73 83 89 96 100 20 FT WIND......E 10 E 10 NE 11 NE 10 NE 10 NE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 25 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 1700 1200 1300 1200 1100 MIXNG WIND......E 23 E 26 NE 28 NE 28 NE 25 NE 23 CWR.............0 0 0 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 2 2 2 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 11 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................16 PERCENT INCREASING TO 27 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 17 TO 26 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........92 89 85 79 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............46 49 51 53 RH..............100 89 77 67 20 FT WIND......N 9G20 N 10G20 N 10G25 N 14G30 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1600 2600 3300 MIXNG WIND......NE 21 NE 17 N 22 N 26 CWR.............20 20 30 30 HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...DUNTEN REQUESTED BY...SCOTT THOMASSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110418.DUVAL.01/ICT