FNUS73 KLOT 172053 FWSLOT SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG LAKE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 353 PM CDT SUN APR 17 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL BE MOVING EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLY MONDAY MORNING. A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO LINGER ACROSS NORTHWEST INDIANA UNTIL MID MORNING...WITH DRYING CONDITIONS...BUT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THEREAFTER. MODEST NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DESIRED BURN TIME. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 45. RH..................73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-2900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 24 TO 29 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /65700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD /73000 KNOT-FT/. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........81 77 72 74 77 79 82 84 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............42 43 43 44 45 45 45 44 RH..............73 70 70 67 64 64 63 65 20FT WIND DIR...070 070 070 070 070 060 060 060 20FT SPEED(MPH).9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 20FT SPEED(KT)..8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 20FT GUST(MPH)..18 17 17 16 16 15 15 15 20FT GUST(KT)...16 15 15 14 14 13 13 13 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.090 100 100 100 100 090 090 080 TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 29 28 28 26 25 25 CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 VRATE KT-FT/100066 70 73 73 70 67 62 58 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38. RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1900-2100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 24 TO 31 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (48800-54500 KNOT-FT). TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........86 88 90 92 93 95 97 98 98 99 99 100 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............43 42 41 41 40 40 39 39 39 39 39 38 RH..............67 69 71 71 73 72 74 73 73 72 72 75 20FT WIND DIR...060 060 060 060 060 060 060 060 060 070 070 070 20FT SPEED(MPH).7 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 20FT SPEED(KT)..6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 20FT GUST(MPH)..15 15 16 17 18 18 20 20 21 21 21 21 20FT GUST(KT)...13 13 14 15 16 16 17 17 18 18 18 18 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.080 080 070 060 050 050 040 040 050 050 060 060 TRANSP WIND SPD.24 25 26 28 29 30 31 31 31 31 30 30 CWR.............70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 VRATE KT-FT/100055 53 51 50 50 50 50 49 49 49 50 53 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 51. RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. LAL.................16-25 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2900-3300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2600-2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 30 TO 39 MPH INCREASING TO 40 TO 44 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO VERY GOOD (57100-115000 KNOT-FT). TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 99 99 99 99 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............39 41 43 45 47 49 49 50 51 51 51 50 RH..............73 68 63 59 56 53 54 53 53 55 57 61 20FT WIND DIR...070 070 070 070 080 080 080 080 080 090 090 100 20FT SPEED(MPH).11 11 12 12 13 13 13 13 12 12 11 11 20FT SPEED(KT)..10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 20FT GUST(MPH)..21 21 21 21 21 21 21 20 20 20 18 18 20FT GUST(KT)...18 18 18 18 18 18 18 17 17 17 16 16 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.070 070 070 070 070 080 080 080 090 100 100 110 TRANSP WIND SPD.30 31 33 35 37 39 40 41 43 43 44 44 CWR.............70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 LAL.............4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 VRATE KT-FT/100057 66 76 87 98 107 113 115 114 111 106 100 $$ FORECASTER...MERZLOCK REQUESTED BY...NATE ORSBURN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110418.LONGL.01/LOT