FNUS76 KMFR 191456
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR A-12...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
756 AM PDT TUE APR 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1635 PDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS
TONIGHT...BUT WILL REMAIN DRY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO
THE BURN AREA WEDNESDAY BRINGING AN INCREASE CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL BE LATE IN THE MORNING THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON.

.OUTLOOK FOR 3-5 DAYS...COOL AND WET CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THURSDAY...BUT PRECIPITATION SHOULD DECREASE IN THE AFTERNOON AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BURN
AREA WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY. A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVE THROUGH THE
BURN AREA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY KEEPING CONDITIONS WET.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57.
MIN HUMIDITY........43PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND 2-4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1300 FT AGL THROUGH MID MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 1-3 MPH IN THE EVENING. BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE TONIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL EARLY....LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 2-5 MPH EARLY...THEN SOUTH
                    1-3 MPH TONIGHT.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING WEST 3-5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 16-26 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON DETHLEFS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110418.A12__.01/MFR