FNUS72 KMHX 181246 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH TWIFORD FARM...ALLIGATOR RIVER NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 846 AM EDT MON APR 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 EDT ON APRIL 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OFFSHORE TODAY...THEN EXTEND OVER THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH BY NOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 22 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............45 44 41 36 30 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................52 65 71 73 74 RH..................100 55 39 37 37 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 4 SW 5 S 8 S 13 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 15 20 20 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............30 30 32 34 35 37 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................71 66 63 62 61 61 RH..................46 61 72 75 81 84 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 9 S 8 S 7 S 6 SW 6 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 10 10 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2100-3000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 21 TO 24 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............40 43 40 37 34 36 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................62 63 69 74 77 77 RH..................84 81 66 55 52 54 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 6 SW 7 SW 9 S 11 S 12 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...MERRELL REQUESTED BY...DONNIE HARRIS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110418.SOUTH.01/MHX