FNUS73 KMPX 181122 FWSMPX SPOT FORECAST FOR PHASIANUS...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 622 AM CDT MON APR 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... COOL AND GRAY DAY ANTICIPATED AT THE BURN SITE TODAY AS AMPLE CLOUD COVER REMAINS PARKED OVER THE AREA IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING WEATHER SYSTEM CURRENTLY OVER THE ROCKIES. SFC HIGH TO BE CENTERED NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR WILL SUPPLY THE SITE WITH EAST WINDS MAINLY 10 MPH OR LESS. DESPITE COOLER TEMPS...DRIER AIR COMING IN FROM THE EAST WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES TO DROP INTO THE 40S. PRECIPITATION SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON AT THE EARLIEST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURE.........38 AT IGNITION...MAX 47. RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (15600-36200). MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-6000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............36 38 43 46 47 46 RH..............67 64 53 49 51 58 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 4 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 5 HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 2 3 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35. RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (11700-42200). MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-2600 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........EAST 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 21 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 42. RH..................MIN 62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (14300-47000) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (68300-105300) IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...GRIESINGER REQUESTED BY...KRIS LARSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110418.PHASI.01/MPX