FNUS71 KRNK 180035 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE HEAVEN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 835 PM EDT SUN APR 17 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... EXPECT WINDS TO BE SOUTHWESTERLY ON MONDAY WITH AFTERNOON WIND SPEEDS INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH...AND STILL A LITTLE GUSTY ALONG THE RIDGE TOPS. HIGH THIN CIRRUS MAY DRIFT ACROSS THE AREA BUT THERE SHOULD STILL BE A GOOD BIT OF SUN TOO. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE MIDWEST ON TUESDAY WITH A STATIONARY FRONT RUNNING EAST THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND TO ALONG THE MASON-DIXON...PA/MD BORDER. SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ON TUESDAY...WITH GULF MOISTURE AND HIGHER DEWPOINTS RETURNING TO THE AREA AND INCREASED AFTERNOON CUMULUS. AN AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM OR TWO MAY DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS BUT THEY WILL BE ISOLATED IN NATURE WITH THE PROBABILITY OF ANY RAIN LESS THAN 30 PERCENT. && .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44. MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............1 11 19 25 31 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................53 51 49 48 46 RH..................45 50 58 60 56 20 FT WIND..........W 10 W 12 SW 12 SW 10 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 30 30 25 15 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON ALONG THE RIDGE TOPS. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............41 49 35 34 46 43 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................45 48 55 61 64 67 RH..................61 63 53 44 38 36 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 5 S 5 S 7 SW 10 SW 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 18 22 MIX HGT (FT)........300 300 1100 2000 3100 3600 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............41 46 49 52 55 60 WEATHER COV......... S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP................67 63 60 58 56 55 RH..................37 42 47 53 58 62 20 FT WIND..........SW 11 SW 10 SW 12 SW 12 SW 10 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....22 20 18 18 18 18 CWR.................0 0 10 10 10 20 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORM. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............64 68 70 71 71 69 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................53 55 60 65 68 70 RH..................69 69 64 59 55 53 20 FT WIND..........SW 9 SW 9 SW 8 SW 8 SW 7 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....18 16 16 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........300 300 600 1600 3400 3200 CWR.................20 20 20 20 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...MANUEL REQUESTED BY...HAROLD SUTHERLAND TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110418.HORSE.01/RNK