FNUS71 KLWX 181958 FWSLWX SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH NEW ROAD RUN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 358 PM EDT MON APR 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATER WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND T-STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................20 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 26 TO 28 MPH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........87 87 81 81 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............61 65 68 69 RH..............62 60 59 59 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 9 SW 9 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 20 CWR.............30 40 40 40 .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CWR.................40 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........77 65 57 46 37 43 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............68 65 62 61 59 58 RH..............63 70 81 81 83 83 20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 SW 8 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 CWR.............40 10 10 10 10 10 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500-5100 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH...INCREASING TO 32 TO 41 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING WEST 40 TO 47 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...DECREASING TO 36 TO 39 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........51 57 57 62 62 62 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............58 61 68 73 76 76 RH..............80 72 54 43 39 39 20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 9 SW 13 W 14 W 15 W 14 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 30 40 40 40 CWR.............10 30 30 50 50 50 $$ FORECASTER...LASORSA REQUESTED BY...DUTY OFFICER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110419.NORTH.01/LWX