FNUS76 KMFR 191710
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DORRIS 2...LAKEVIEW BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1010 AM PDT TUE APR 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 PDT ON APRIL 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA TODAY WILL BRING
DRY AND SUNNY WEATHER WITH GOOD MIXING THIS AFTERNOON. TONIGHT
A DISTURBANCE MOVES TOWARDS THE AREA FROM THEW WEST AND WILL
BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH SHOWERS
INCREASING DURING THE DAY. THIS DISTURBANCE MAY ALSO BRING A
PERIOD OF GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS DURING THE DAY.

PRECIPITATION INCREASES WEDNESDAY  EVENING AND  OVERNIGHT
AS ANOTHER DISTURBANCE AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA. EXPECT MAINLY RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH
SOME SNOW MIXED IN WITH THE RAIN LATE IN THE LIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING.  PRECIPITATION SHIFTS EAST THURSDAY
MORNING FOLLOWED BY  HIGH PRESSURE  BRIEFLY RETURNING
FRIDAY...BEFORE ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA LATE
SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 4 MPH INCREASING TO 4 TO 7 MPH
                     THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 45000-5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 0 TO 2 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                     VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH.
CWR.................3 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING
                      THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-51.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 2 MPH INCREASING TO 4 TO 6 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO 2000--3000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                     SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING
                     THEN WEST 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE MID TO
                     LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...NOLAN YOCUM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110419.DORRI.01/MFR