FNUS72 KMHX 181918 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH STUMPY...ALLIGATOR RIVER NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 318 PM EDT MON APR 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND OVER THE AREA FROM OFFSHORE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL MOVE OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA SATURDAY. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............41 39 38 39 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................72 78 81 79 RH..................59 47 42 47 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 10 S 12 S 14 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....18 20 26 26 HAINES INDEX........5 5 4 4 .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 22 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............40 41 42 44 45 46 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................76 72 70 68 69 68 RH..................56 71 73 78 81 84 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 14 S 14 S 12 SW 12 SW 11 SW 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1600-3000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............48 49 46 42 38 39 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................65 70 77 82 85 83 RH..................97 81 67 56 51 55 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 14 SW 14 SW 14 S 15 S 15 S 17 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 25 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...MERRELL REQUESTED BY...DONNIE HARRIS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110419.NORTH.01/MHX