FNUS72 KMHX 191007 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH STUMPY...ALLIGATOR RIVER NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 607 AM EDT TUE APR 19 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND OVER THE AREA FROM OFFSHORE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL MOVE OFFSHORE FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT THIS AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............41 38 35 34 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................70 75 78 74 RH..................66 55 45 57 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 10 S 11 S 14 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 25 25 25 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............34 33 38 45 50 54 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................72 70 69 68 68 68 RH..................64 73 76 81 84 87 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 12 S 11 S 11 SW 10 SW 9 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1900-2600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 24 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............49 31 30 27 26 31 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................69 68 74 80 83 82 RH..................84 87 74 60 57 58 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 10 SW 14 SW 16 SW 16 SW 16 SW 16 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 25 25 25 25 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...DAIL REQUESTED BY...DONNIE HARRIS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110419.NORTH.01/MHX