FNUS71 KRNK 190010 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUFF MTN...TNC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 810 PM EDT MON APR 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STATIONARY FRONT WILL BE NORTH OF THE AREA TUESDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. EXPECT WINDS TO BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS WIND FLOW WILL DRAW HIGHER DEWPOINTS INTO THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA COMPARED TO MONDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE STILL FORECAST...BUT MAINLY NEAR THE RIDGE TOPS PER FULL EXPOSURE AT THE TOP OF THE MOUNTAIN. THE SIDE SLOPES...ESPECIALLY THE EAST SIDE OF THE MOUNTAIN...WILL BE SHADOWED FROM A SOUTHWEST WIND...THUS THE MAGNITUDE OF THE SUSTAINED WIND WILL BE MUCH LOWER AND EXPERIENCE FEWER GUSTS. CANNOT TOTALLY RULE OUT AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM...BUT IF A SHOWER DOES FORM IT WOULD BE BRIEF WITH AMOUNTS LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. THE PROBABILITY OF ANY WETTING IS LESS THAN 30 PERCENT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY PRODUCING BREEZY CONDITIONS AND A HIGHER THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS. && .TONIGHT... MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM RH..................39 41 52 62 62 65 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........RIDGETOP WINDS SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 24 MPH. SLOPE AND VALLEY WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 12 MPH...UPSLOPE UPVALLEY. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT MAY DEVELOP. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT 10:00 AM...INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING... INCREASING TO 18 TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............39 50 48 47 49 51 WEATHER COV......... ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM RH..................74 71 67 59 52 47 20 FT WIND..........SW 1 S 2 SW 4 SW 6 SW 9 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 15 24 24 CWR.................10 10 10 10 20 20 .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............56 62 69 71 68 75 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RH..................54 60 65 69 70 71 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 S 4 S 4 S 5 S 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 10 10 10 15 10 CWR.................20 10 10 10 20 20 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR (0.01 IN).......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 29 TO 31 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............72 61 64 74 75 82 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RH..................77 77 70 61 52 49 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 W 6 W 9 W 10 W 9 W 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 25 30 25 25 CWR.................20 50 50 50 60 60 $$ FORECASTER...MANUEL REQUESTED BY...MARGIT BUCHER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110419.BLUFF.01/RNK